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Climate Sense

Climate Sense monitors the impacts of climate change on nature, and guides the conservation and restoration of ecosystems to help mitigate and adapt to it.

EXPLORE TOPICS

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About climate Sense

Climate change threatens people’s lives and livelihoods, the survival of species, and the integrity of ecosystems all over the world. But Nature-based Solutions that protect and restore ecosystems absorb carbon dioxide and help shield communities from the effects of climate change. Investing in the conservation, restoration and sustainable management of nature can provide around a third � of climate mitigation needed by 2030.

210 million+

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hectares of degraded and deforested lands pledged to be restored thanks to the Bonn Challenge, co-founded by IUCN.

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countries have included Nature-based Solutions in their plans under the Paris Agreement. IUCN’s Global Standard for Nature-based Solutions helps maximise their impact.

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natural World Heritage sites are now threatened by climate change. IUCN’s research has found climate change is the leading threat to natural World Heritage sites globally.

Our work

The climate and biodiversity emergencies are not distinct, but two aspects of one crisis. Unsustainable human activity continues to compound the situation, and threatens not only our own survival but the foundation of life on Earth. Our response to these emergencies must be mutually reinforcing.

- Marseille Manifesto

Our ambition is for a world that limits temperature rise to 1.5°C through ambitious measures to mitigate climate change, and enables effective adaptation. We work to achieve this by monitoring the impacts of climate change and responses to it, helping governments implement effective Nature-based Solutions at scale, and ensuring that responses to climate change and its impacts are informed by evidence. We guide climate policy and action that is equitable and inclusive to bring the greatest benefits to societies, nature and economies.

Across the world’s largest cities, the longest heat wave per year in a 1.5 degrees C warmer world could average 16.3 days, with 3% of cities facing a heat wave every year that lasts one month or longer.

However, under the world’s current trajectory of nearly 3 degrees C of warming, the average duration of the longest heat wave in a year may jump to 24.5 days, with more than 16% of the world’s largest cities — home to 302 million people — exposed to at least one heat wave lasting one month or longer every year.3

Duration of annual longest heat wave also varies significantly by region. 

At 1.5 degrees C of warming, the Middle East and North Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean regions may see the longest heat waves on average, lasting an estimated 23-25 days.

At 3 degrees C of warming, the Middle East and North Africa may see the largest estimated jump in duration of annual longest heat wave (+13.6 days), bringing the longest heat waves in the region to 36.3 days, on average.

East Asia and the Pacific and South Asia regions may also see increases of 9-10 days longer, resulting in heat waves lasting 23-25 days.

Heat waves may become more frequent, too.

At 1.5 degrees C of temperature rise, the average city may experience 4.9 heat waves per year.

At 3 degrees C of warming, the number of heat waves may rise to 6.4 per year, with an increasing number of cities facing double-digit heat waves every year.

Cities in countries with different income levels would see different changes.

At 1.5 degrees C of global warming, cities in high-income countries may see an estimated 5.2 heat waves per year, on average, while those in low-income countries may see 4.7 heat waves.

At 3 degrees C of warming, the number of heat waves for cities in high-income countries may rise by 0.7 to an estimated 5.9 heat waves per year.

For cities in low-income countries, heat wave frequency may rise by an estimated 2.1 to 6.9 heat waves per year.